Dear readers,
I am pleased to bring you the latest edition of our newsletter. In this edition, we focus on the key trends in UPI – credit and cross-border use cases, imperatives for the stakeholders, and the pricing structure of UPI and the possible way forward.
I hope you find this newsletter to be a useful and insightful read.
For further details or feedback, please write to: Vivek Belgavi or Mihir Gandhi
UPI has evolved as a game-changer in India’s digital payments ecosystem by providing real-time instant interbank transfers with a faster, more convenient and cost-effective way of making transactions.
Since its launch in 2016, UPI has a gained massive acceptance due to the following features
Source: RBI and PwC analysis
With active involvement of the regulators, introduction of new features, and international expansion, UPI is poised to experience the next wave of exponential growth.
UPI grew from 18 million transactions and INR 69.61 billion in FY16–17 to 83,751 million transactions amounting to INR 139,204 billion in FY 22–23,1 contributing to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 234% in transactions and 196% in value. The following graph depicts the growth of UPI transactions (volume and value) since its inception and provides a projection for the coming years
Some key trends in UPI have been highlighted below
In 2022,2 the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced the linkage of RuPay credit cards on UPI with the objective of providing a seamless and digitally enabled credit card lifecycle experience to RuPay cardholders. Customerscan link their UPI ID on either Bharat Interface for Money (BHIM) or other UPI apps with the help of the registered mobile number which is linked to their credit card account.
The linkage of RuPay credit cards on UPI is expected to impact a number of ecosystem players.
Some of the key offerings by non-banks in embedded finance include
UPI transactions have attracted zero MDR since their inception. However, effective from 1 April 2023,11 the NPCI has recommended an interchange fee up to 1.1% of the transaction value to be levied on PPI-UPI transactions greater than INR 2,000, which would be fully absorbed by the merchants and paid to the wallet/card issuers with no additional charges to the customers.
UPI is also available with merchants in even the remotest parts of the country. The ticket-size for these merchants is low and their annual turnover is also moderate. Also, the cost of services like last-mile delivery charges and overheads lead to lower margins for such merchants/micro entrepreneurs. Any further charges on UPI will reduce their margins more and disincentivise digital payments over cash. Hence, MDR for small merchants should be waived.
Enabling credit and credit card RuPay payments via UPI is a landmark move by the RBI and NPCI. Overall, this initiative of moving credit on UPI is going to be instrumental and help in further extending the digital payments ecosystem in India. This move will enable the outreach of RuPay credit cards to the next level. Moreover, accepting payments via credit cards will now become easier. Merchants will no longer need to buy any hardware devices to accept credit card payments, which will especially be useful for small merchants across categories who find it difficult to acquire PoS hardware.
Issuers will need to re-design their customer onboarding journey wherein the customer could be given the option of selecting their credit card based on the preference of the network operator, in addition to other attractive features. It will also be interesting to see how the regulator will work towards the inclusion of credit lines, other card payment schemes and mobile apps to expand this feature further.
Although such features will enable ease of digital payments, cardholders will also have to be mindful by using the same in a responsible manner in order to avoid unnecessary accumulation of outstanding dues.
Enabling UPI on international transactions, on the other hand, will have a significant impact on the Indian economy and international businesses, and help expand into a new target segment of NRIs and foreign travellers. Performing cross-border transactions along with a seamless payments’ experience for customers will now become more convenient. For inbound travellers too, this linking of UPI to PPI wallets will be an extremely useful feature and might boost the tourism industry in India.
With UPI going global, FinTech start-ups and payments system operators who are already building innovative use cases in India, will be able to take their services beyond the country and capitalise on new market opportunities.
This growth in the volume of transactions shall also have direct implications on the existing payments infrastructure of PSPs and banks, who will need to ensure that their systems are future-proof and more resilient than ever before. This would require additional investments in terms of system uptimes and processing higher transactions per second (TPS).
The provision of credit lines on UPI will add to the simplification of use of bank credit by customers and drive financial inclusion in urban as well as rural areas. Going forward, a credit line product from a bank will enhance the digital lending ecosystem as well. However, it remains to see how interest rates on such products will be decided.
Overall, credit card on UPI, international transactions for foreign inbound travellers and cross-border transactions on UPI and credit lines on UPI will bring in additional revenue and provide benefits to all ecosystem players. However, the same will have to be implemented with appropriate planning, robust set-ups, and effective alliances to ensure adherence to security and compliance in order to manage transaction volumes successfully.