by Amit Kumar, Partner and Leader - Power & Utilities, Mining
Union Budget 2023–24, presented by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, builds on the vision set out in the previous budgets and provides a blueprint for steering the economy towards a sustained high-growth trajectory in the 25-year-long lead-up to India @100.
Our experts at PwC India share industry expectations from the budget announcement. This page showcases budget forecasts, budget explanations and will decode the Budget on February 1. Explore this page to catch up on the Budget 2023 expectations from industry stakeholders, Union Budget 2023 analysis as well to get a better understanding of the budget implications on the Indian Economy.
This Budget has provided a blueprint for fueling India’s aspirations and expectations as the country commences its journey towards India@100. Explore our analysis and understand the implications on your business.
Budget 2023 lays the foundation for the Prime Minister’s vision of India@100 by adopting seven priorities including, inter alia, Infrastructure and Investment, Inclusive Development and Financial Sector.
Day and date: Thursday, Feb 2 2023
Time: 6:30 AM - 7:30 AM (UTC-05:00) Eastern Time (US & Canada)
Register here.
Moderator |
Panelists |
|||
Bhavin Shah Partner and leader, Deals |
Harshal Kamdar CFO, Sequoia |
Amit Jhunjhunwala CFO, Accel |
Vaibhav Goel CFO, Elevation |
Amit Mehra CFO, Lightspeed |
Playback of this video is not currently available
Playback of this video is not currently available
1. Tax rates rationalisation
2. Providing tax certainty
The government may provide guidance around the methodology to be followed for computation of profit attributable to non-residents those of who constitute significant economic presence in India.
There are several building blocks to be finalised in Pillar One of the OECD/ G20 Inclusive Framework. However, the OECD has moved at a rapid pace in case of Pillar Two with the announcement of the rules and commentary. We might see some announcements related to India’s plan to implement Pillar Two in this Budget.
3. Spurring investment and demand
Concessional tax rate or tax holiday for electric vehicles, green technology or clean energy, and semi-conductors can be introduced.
Increase in deduction under section 80C of the Income-tax Act, 1961 (the Act) limit and for interest on home loan.
4. Ease of doing business
To boost exports from India and support working capital requirements, exports may be removed from the purview of section 194-O of the Act.
5. Other key expectations from the Budget on corporate tax
Extension of the sunset clause for sections 194LC and 194LD of the Act.
Eligibility of section 194R of the Act for lower deduction certificate under section 197 of the Act.
Tax deducted at source framework for the online gaming sector may be brought in to ensure that the government has the necessary transaction trail.
1. Rationalisation of SHR
2. Introduction of block assessment for TP assessments
3. Self-declaration of international transactions by taxpayers
1. GST
2. Customs
1. Rate rationalisation
2. Providing tax certainties
3. Ease of doing business
4. Going global
1. Tax certainty in relation to AIFs or other private equity funds
2. Rationalisation and simplification of capital gains tax
3. Rationalisation and simplification of tax deduction or collection at source
4. IFSC tax
5. Other key expectations
Attracting investors to Indian government securities (G-Secs)
This budget can provide an extension of the beneficial rate of 5% to interest income received by non-residents from investment in G-secs, which is currently available to foreign portfolio investors (FPIs). The concessional tax treatment would encourage a new set of non-resident investors to invest in Indian G-secs.
Foreign bank tax rates
This budget is expected to lower the tax slab for foreign banks. While domestic banks have a lower rate of 22%, branches of foreign banks are taxed at the base rate of 40%, creating significant disparity between Indian and foreign banks.
Removal of rule that calls for TDS on cash withdrawal
Section 194N has cast a liability on banks to deduct TDS in case of withdrawal of cash from accounts above a specified limit. Banks are facing practical difficulties in implementing the same and collecting the TDS amount from the customer’s account.
Tax relief for promoting the use of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC)
With the retail CBDC pilot planned during the year, the Government can look at offering tax relief to banks and financial institutions (FIs) engaged in promoting and building the infrastructure for the future of money.
Budget 2022 paves the way for India’s formal entry into the digital currency domain by introducing distributed ledger technology enabled digital currency and making it a legal tender.
Union Budget 2022–23, presented by the Finance Minister, builds on the vision set out in the previous budgets and provides a blueprint for steering the economy towards a sustained high-growth trajectory in the 25-year-long lead-up to India @100.
The budget provides a framework for growth by focusing on four key themes: (i) public investment for building modern infrastructure under PM Gati Shakti; (ii) inclusive development; (iii) productivity and investment, sunrise opportunities, energy transition, and climate action; and (iv) financing of investment. Additionally, the Finance Minister has announced several tax and regulatory measures which should go a long way towards removing difficulties faced by taxpayers, reducing litigation, providing certainty and widening the tax base.
"Budget 2022 highlights the government’s thrust on building a robust foundation for a pro-development, growth-oriented economy and provides a blueprint for a #FitForFuture India," says PwC's Vivek Prasad.
Playback of this video is not currently available
Gayathri Parthasarathy
Partner & Leader, Financial Services
Overall, Union Budget 2023-24 is built on the vision laid out by the FM in 2019 of inclusive growth, macroeconomic stability and sustainable growth. Financial services features as one of the seven priorities in this Budget. This year, the focus is on ensuring financial inclusion at scale, ease of access, better and faster service delivery, as well as enhanced participation in financial markets.
Bhavin Shah
Partner & Leader, Deals
Union Budget 2023-24 has laid the stepping-stone for the Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision of India@100 by emphasising on reforms and policies relating to the overall economic sustainability, market digitisation (including focus on AI excellence), startup ecosystem, IFSC framework and certain priority infrastructure sectors like green growth.
On the tax front, while a few positive tax reforms have been introduced, such as easing out the compliance burden, a few other unexpected tax announcements like taxing primary investments by non-residents could potentially impact the overall deal ecosystem.
Kavan Mukhtyar
Partner and Leader, Automotive
For the automotive sector, the Union Budget, directionally, has come in support of cleaner mobility with the electric vehicle industry being the main beneficiary. Measures announced on the scrappage policy, along with batteries and hydrogen projects, are in line with the Government's commitment to Net Zero and reduced dependence on fossil fuels.
Shashi Kant Singh
Executive Director, Agriculture and Natural Resources
The Union Budget is incentivising a forward-looking vision for agriculture. Focus on accelerator funds for agri startups, higher agri credit allocation, making India a global hub for millets, along with digital and functional rejuvenation of PACS will have a long lasting impact on the sector. A national agri stack, built as a public good for effective decision making, and farm advisory are commendable initiatives, which provide the much-needed thrust to the Indian agricultural sector.
The Union Budget ticks all the expected boxes viz. pump priming the economy with 33% higher CapEx allocation; pushing consumption by encouraging taxpayers to adopt the new tax regime with lower taxes and consume the additional money in hand rather than using savings to lower the tax burden in the old regime; and sticking to the fiscal consolidation path with the fiscal deficit target being brought down to 5.9%. The highest tax rate on personal income has also been brought down to address concerns on flight of HNIs.
A growth of 33% on infrastructure investments lays the foundation for reducing cost of doing business in India. Focus on 100 critical infrastructure projects for enabling last mile connectivity will promote the reduction of logistics costs. Continued focus on coastal shipping for freight movement, and revamping and upgrading 50 airports will enable connectivity across all major economic clusters. Cities in India are at the heart of economic growth, and a new fund with an annual allocation of INR 10,000 crore will provide impetus to the development of urban infrastructure across cities.
India’s commitment to a greener world as it transitions to a major economic hub is evident from an outlay of INR 35,000 crore to energy transition, with specific outlay of INR 19,700 crore for green hydrogen, which leads to prospects of exports of green hydrogen and hydrogen-embedded low-carbon products, such as green ammonia and green steel.
In terms of availability of skilled manpower in emerging sectors like medical devices, where India has a large potential to scale up manufacturing, the focus on dedicated courses across key educational institutions should enable availability of industry responsive manpower.
Using data as an asset to drive insights requires two critical things — availability of reliable data and the ability to cross-reference data across multiple data sets, and the Union Budget 2023 has addressed both the issues effectively. On the back of the data governance policy, bringing the academia and corporates on a common platform will enable innovation across multiple use cases. This will boost India's AI leadership for solving grassroots problems.
Rail and roadways are the biggest beneficiaries of the enlarged outlay on capital expenditure for transport infrastructure, accounting for nearly INR 5 lakh crore of the total INR 10 lakh crore outlay, showing a continuous commitment. In the road sector, out of the total budget for roadways of INR 2.6 lac crore, around INR 1.6 lac crore will be channelled into the National Highway Authority of India (NHAI). This should, to an extent, alleviate the debates around financial sustainability from the perspective of high spending, which is expected on committed and commissioned HAM projects, as well as debt instruments that have been leveraged so far. Further, 50 additional airports, heliports, water aerodromes and advanced landing ground revival will further improve the regional air connectivity, and will provide a fillip to the rapidly-growing aviation sector The National Infrastructure Bank and the Credit Guarantee Schemes were essential to mobilise private capital.
With urban land comprising 3% of the overall landmass and contributing 60% to the overall GDP, planning reforms for the cities of tomorrow is a critical need identified in the Union Budget. Transit-oriented development has been emphasised, coupled with attendant outlay of INR 23,000 crore towards urban transport, thereby underlining the criticality of planning for the cities of tomorrow.
Urban Infrastructure Development Fund targeted at tier 2 and 3 cities is also a good move. With close to 70% of India's population living in cities by 2050, existing Tier 1 cities may not be able to cater to that demand. That said, non-tax revenue of cities remains low and would not be able to drive the needed investments. Thus, we see a push for user-charge mechanisms for revenue improvements, especially for funding urban infrastructure schemes.
Cities and mobility will get an additional push at the state level, with the extension of 50 year loan, which, primarily, comprises vehicle replacement and city-level initiatives
With the Government controlling a large fleet of vehicles, replacing the old and polluting ones is a fantastic move, which will provide a fillip to the auto sector. The scrapping policy will have a lot to gain, making scrapping centres significantly more viable than they were without the vehicle replacement scheme. With INR 19,700 crore on the green hydrogen mission, the Government is keeping all the options open - from green hydrogen based vehicles to BS VI to e-mobility. All of these options stand a chance to gain from the vehicle replacement scheme.
From a tax perspective, while commitment on electric mobility is seen on the battery segment, alternate fuels, like biogas, also finding a place clearly indicates that the future is open to innovation, and the best technology will win. This is in addition to the push coming on the generation side of biogas under the Gobardhan scheme. Alternate fuel like biogas and hydrogen is a push towards circular economy, but it also signals e-mobility players to plan for resilience if alternate fuel and technologies come up faster
Sambitosh Mohapatra
Partner and Leader, ESG Platform & Energy Utilities and Resources
Green growth is a transformative opportunity for the country to lead the world towards a sustainable way of living and address climate mitigation, adaptation and energy transition. The Budget will catalyse the movement towards sustainability with a focus on green fuel, green energy, green farming, green mobility, green buildings, green equipment and policies for the efficient use of energy across various economic sectors. This movement will also help in reducing the carbon intensity of the economy as per India’s NDCs for 2030.
It is a progressive budget which integrates key ESG elements into economy – enrolling women self-help groups into larger producer enterprises, prioritising healthy, climate-resilient agricultural products, spearheading the hydrogen economy, supporting oil and gas sector decarbonisation, focus on biodiversity protection and regeneration, tax exemptions to support green mobility and battery storage, green credit to incentivise corporate and individual behaviour, and viability gap funding for low carbon shipping in PPP mode. It will provide large scale job opportunities, enhance skills, increase the focus on innovation and research and promote inclusive growth for all.
With increased allocation, the importance of healthcare in a post-pandemic world is reflected in the Union Budget 2023. However, the public health spend still needs to be ramped up if India wants to achieve its version of universal healthcare. Collaboration between the public and private sector, with respect to the ICMR labs, will not only strengthen the country‘s ability to combat future epidemics, but will also control antimicrobial resistance, which is amongst the highest in the world.
The quality of the healthcare delivery in the country is dependent on nursing care, and setting up 157 new nursing colleges will greatly facilitate this. Given that one out of five startups focus on healthcare, the concessions in the Budget, with regards to the growth of start-ups and focus on AI, will enhance accessibility and affordability of quality healthcare.
India continues its journey of taking a digital leapfrog by following a bold, futuristic approach in the Union Budget 2023 with a focus on CapEx led growth and sustained development, along with embracing emerging technologies. By promoting an AI ecosystem, 5G labs and setting-up skill centres for emerging technologies, India will get the interdisciplinary R&D boost.
Push for green growth will create the much-needed ESG driven innovation ecosystem. The boost for MSMEs and startups through credit support and tax incentives will help in strengthening India’s core. With custom duty reliefs on machinery and critical components, along with fiscal support for digital infrastructure and access to anonymised data, India is all set for its journey to become a strong manufacturing alternative for the world.
Ravi Kapoor
Partner and Leader, Retail & Consumer
The Budget achieves the impossible of enhancing positive sentiments for all the sections of the society, thus, laying a well-structured roadmap for R&C growth. Income-tax slab optimisation for the middle class, focus on Bharat with slew of initiatives that drive agricultural productivity, growth in non-farm employment with focus on artisans and women, massive infrastructure push (both physical and digital), driving domestic consumption through tourism impetus, enabling ease of doing business with optimising legal compliances, and, lastly, motivating the R&C industry to invest in ‘green’ operating models will set the stage for demand and supply side momentum. This will translate into personal consumption expenditure growth at accelerated levels, setting the sector growth for many years to come.
Read the analysis of Union Budget allocations for the defence sector.
Agriculture Budget Expectations
Social Sector Budget Expectations
Insurance Expectations
Union Budget 2023 Analysis
Budget Implications
Budget Insights
Budget Explanation
The following in a nutshell describes the measures that can be taken by the Government to plug revenue leakages, widen tax base, manage litigation and enhance tax certainty, coupled with strengthening taxpayer services and aligning with the ESG agenda.
a. Make the presumptive tax regime more effective
b. Redesign schemes for small taxpayers under GST
a. Prune exemptions and incentives
b. Incentivise last-mile GST payments
a. Strengthen the dispute resolution scheme for smal taxpayers
b. Introduce mediation as a mechanism to resolve tax disputes
c. Delink transfer pricing audits and introduc block audits
d. Improve litigation management under GST
e. Build a co-operative compliance framework
a. Improve communication with taxpayers and build trust
b. Expand the role of technology
c. Enhance ease of compliances
a. Introduce green taxes and incentives within the Budget on ESG
b. Introduce a framework for tax transparency reporting
Amid the concerns of a global recession and elevated inflation, India’s 2023 Union budget is expected to sustain India’s economy and bolster growth, while maintaining a strict prudence on the fiscal deficit rate.
Manpreet Singh Ahuja
Partner & Leader - Technology Media & Telecommunications (TMT)
For the Indian agriculture sector to thrive, the Government must ensure food security and farmer prosperity at large. Union Budget 2023 must focus on creating an enabling ecosystem for more investments, technology infusion and sustainable innovations.
The Government Budget on agriculture must go beyond research, innovation, effectiveness and scale to tackle the challenges of climate change, productivity, resource efficiency and other critical areas. It is also important to identify and increase funds for agri-education and upgrade the system to enhance its quality and relevance.
The agriculture sector expects the Government to make full stack data available for all, as it would not only help in facilitating last-mile delivery but also encourage private investment to improve gross capital formation. Furthermore, emphasis must be laid on providing a dedicated support system to promote solar and other clean energy forms for reducing emissions.
Focusing on making the sector digitally smart will reduce the cost of operations and enhance farmer income, which, in turn, will contribute in making India farming-ready.
Shashi Kant Singh
Executive Director - Agri and Natural Resources
The Indian manufacturing sector has been resilient in delivering favourable growth despite global economic uncertainty and input costs pressures. In the upcoming Budget, the Government can focus on expanding the scope of the Production Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, enabling efficient logistics and encouraging environment sustainability to deliver inclusive long-term growth. Manufacturers expect the Government to take steps to make the PLI scheme more successful by simplifying the application process and bringing in more flexibility in the evaluation of output achievements to increase participation.
Easing supply chain and logistics constraints has emerged as a key ask from the Government in the upcoming Budget of the manufacturing sector. Developing multimodal logistics parks and incentivising smart warehousing with an enhanced focus on road and rail infrastructure to cut down logistics costs and improve competitiveness will be beneficial.
With cyber risk emerging as the biggest challenge for sectors driven by automation and closely linked to digital transformation, the Government must make dedicated efforts to tackle this problem. Apart from this, digital upskilling and democratisation of technology can help in accelerating adoption and driving productivity gains.
Sudipta Ghosh
Leader – Industrial Products
For Union Budget 2023, given the need to address the gaps in preparedness and response for existing, new and/or emerging health emergencies, the Government should strengthen apex/national institutions and their regional affiliates responsible for research, oversight and management of health emergencies, further enhance local/sub national capacities for integrated surveillance and response by leveraging and establishing interoperable digital platforms for evidence informed decision making.
The Government Budget on Healthcare also needs to strengthen primary and secondary care networks and infrastructure, up-skill frontline health workers and equip them with technology based tools to enhance their efficiency
It is essential to remain continually vigilant and ready to respond at scale and speed, in addition to continuing to enhance support to the existing national programmes to bring the overall health expenditure to at least 3% of GDP.
Initiatives such as the Pradhan Mantri- Ayushman Bharat Infrastructure Mission (PM-ABHIM), National Digital Health Mission (NDHM), One Health Consortium and Integrated Health Information Platform (IHIP) are steps taken to strengthen required capacities at national, regional, and global level.
While PM-ABHIM focuses on strengthening healthcare systems, One Health Consortium aims to initiate cross-cutting collaborations between animal, human and environmental health. India has also signed up to WHO’s ‘Triple Billion targets by 2023’, to ensure that, globally, one billion more people benefit from the universal health coverage.
Kaustabh Basu
Partner - Social Sector
With the R&C sector being the bell weather for the wider consumer sentiment in the country, driving growth at 1.5 to 2x of GDP should be the stated intent in Budget 2023. While the Government is investing in electricity, logistics and digital infrastructure, it is essential to adopt favourable policy regimes (i.e.,Retail and Logistics policies) through the value chain and lead to enhance reach to tier 3 and 4 markets and beyond. For example, to simplify rules governing retail operations PAN India, facilitate growth of viable retail operations and promote digitisation, immediate roll-out of the National Retail Policy is a key expectation from Union Budget 2023.
The Government must increase disposable incomes through rationalisation in personal taxation, along with higher minimum support price (MSP) for food grains to boost rural incomes and increased salaries to government employees across sectors. It is essential to pursue a constant product innovation agenda by R&C players to cater to evolving needs of the end consumer as we dial up value consciousness , reduce discretionary spends and prefer sustainability as an important value. R&C players will need to deploy data and analytics-led approaches to deliver high consumer experiences across touch points.
The Government should enable production led incentives (PLI) across all sub categories within consumers to enable wider finished goods access across price points. Case in point being categories like footwear, processed wood furniture and toys is also on the cards this fiscal.
Ravi Kapoor
Partner and Leader Retail & Consumer
Frameworks for the oil and gas (O&G) sector. In the upcoming Union Budget, policies should focus on carbon credits, decarbonisation targets, RE obligations, infrastructure regulations, etc.
The O&G sector has a responsibility to respond to the needs of its customers and must also work towards securing the future in a world of new energies. In the upcoming Budget, customers expect the Government to have relatively cheaper sources of gas and LNG.
The sector anticipates that the Government will support small-to-medium enterprises (SMEs) to develop infrastructure for molecules like Hydrogen, Ethanol, Biodiesel, Biomass, Biogas, etc.
Various oil companies and fossil fuel dependent industries seek clarity on emerging
carbon credit policies, so as to plan their future investments.
Offtake support for bio-manure by fertisliser companies, along with the development of large petrochemicals and chemicals zones for investors, is on the wishlist. This will help in avoiding the hunt for land, utilities and supply chain.
Deepak Mahurkar,
Partner and Leader Oil & Gas, PwC India
Gearing up for the future: Strengthening India's pandemic preparedness and response
Budget 2023: Will FM Sitharaman unlock more SOPs for India's infrastructure development
Union Budget 2023: Top 3 steps FM can take for streamlining PLI scheme
Budget 2023: Here's what the BFSI sector can expect from FM Nirmala Sitharaman
Union Budget 2023: How PLI scheme can take India on the path to self-reliance
Budget 2023: How Nirmala Sitharaman can strengthen growth boosters