While the global economy is battling with strong headwinds, India’s economy is seeing a robust growth and is on the path to emerging as one of the fastest growing economies in the world. The Finance Minister has presented the Interim Budget 2019. This publication provides an overview of key announcements and proposals made in the Interim Budget and its likely impact.
Implications:
The announcement about financial support will provide some relief to farmers and will address to some extent issues faced in the farm sector. Interest subvention schemes will improve the credit uptake and address farmers’ loan related stress. Overall, the announcement for the farm sector is expected to boost rural consumption and demand.
Implications:
Provisions relating to interest rebate will encourage more MSMEs to register under GST, which will promote compliance under GST, expand the tax base and boost formalisation of the economy. Improved access and the reduced cost of credit will lower organisations’ production costs and make them more competitive. With the implementation of the GeM platform, MSMEs will have access to a larger market.
Implications:
The scheme will provide old age social security and encourage savings among unorganised sector workers. Increased enrolment should lead to further formalisation of the economy.
Implications:
Extension of benefits in the real estate sector will give a boost to construction activity, particularly in affordable housing. Exemption from levy of tax on inventories is likely to encourage investment in the sector. From the consumers’ point of view, benefits of rollover in capital gains and exemptions on income tax on rent will boost housing demand, and is also expected to increase investments in a second house.
While there are no changes proposed in personal Income Tax rates and slabs, the Government has made certain key proposals to provide relief to small taxpayers, especially to middle class and salaried earners in the form of:
Domestic companies with a turnover not exceeding INR 250 crore during FY 2016-17 continue to enjoy a reduced tax rate of 25% (increased by applicable surcharge and cess). The base year for this reduced tax rate is proposed to be extended to domestic companies with turnover not exceeding INR 250 crore for FY 2017-18.
The provisions relating to TDS on rental payments provide for a monetary threshold of INR 1.8 lakh. This threshold has been enhanced to INR 2.4 lakh.
Certain key amendments have been proposed in the Interim Budget to provide relief and give an impetus to the Real Estate sector, including the affordable housing market:
The Government has estimated the CGST collection for FY 2019-20 at INR 6.10 lakh crore. This assumes a growth of around 20% over the revised estimate FY 2018-19 at INR 5.04 lakh crore.
Given that overall growth in GST collection in the current year over last year is only 8% (INR 97,100 crore vs INR 89,700 crore on a month-on-month basis), it will be interesting to see how this ambitious target is achieved by the Government.
It will need substantial expansion in the tax base and stringent control over revenue leakages.
The proposed amendments in stamp duty provisions are largely aimed at rationalising the various stamp duty provisions as well as streamlining the stamp duty collection mechanism. It is intended to designate stock exchanges and depositories to collect stamp duty on sale or transfer of securities. Such collection will be transferred to the respective state government within the prescribed time. The amendments also propose changes to the rates of duties. It also appears that exemption of stamp duty on transfer of dematerialised shares is proposed to be done away with.
The thrust of this Budget was on social infrastructure, ease of living and technologyled governance aimed at inclusive and equitable growth. The salaried class with taxable income of up to INR 5 lakh will have higher disposable incomes. Direct Benefit Transfer to farmers will support rural demand. The Pradhan Mantri Shram-Yogi Maandhan Yojana will provide social security to a large number of marginal wage earners in the country. The Real Estate sector will see more activity and the allied sectors of steel and cement will get a boost. With enhanced spending and direct benefit transfers, there is an obvious concern about inflationary pressures. However, given that capacity utilisation is still around 70%, we believe that expectations of inflationary pressure will be muted. The Government’s vision to create a tech-enabled tax system is a welcome initiative. In all, this Budget has set the tone for considerable future discourse.