Budget 2025: A strategic step towards India’s climate-resilient growth

Budget 2025: A strategic step towards India’s climate-resilient growth

The Union Budget 2025 marks a pivotal moment in India’s economic and climate journey. India is one of the world’s fastest-growing economy. While in the past, the government’s focus was on structural reforms, digitalisation and industrial expansion, this year’s budget has made announcements which are aligned to introducing programmes which are imperative for sustainable and inclusive growth in times of rising global climate risks and economic volatility.

In contrast to the previous year’s budget which focused on infrastructure expansion, social welfare and digital transformation, this budget signals a more integrated approach blending climate-conscious policies with economic competitiveness. There is also an increase in the allocation for renewable energy, sustainable agriculture and green industrialisation which is aimed at positioning India as one of the countries which are championing climate-resilient development.

Strategic themes: Analysing the budget’s core pillars

With an increased capital expenditure on core infrastructure, the budget aims to maintain a fiscal deficit target of 4.4% of GDP.3  The concern, however, is that the revenue forgone due to tax cuts and financial/ fiscal subsidies may impact long term fiscal sustainability.

In the past, allocation towards infrastructure spend had increased, however, none had any explicit targets to integrate climate-linked fiscal strategies. This years’ budget aims to advance India’s green transition by embedding sustainability into fiscal planning. An area overlooked by Union Budget 2025 was that India must explore climate resilience bonds, green sovereign funds and carbon trading revenues in order to finance USD ~10 trillion of investments for the country’s net-zero transition.4

For trade and exports, the budget has mixed responses. On the one hand measures such as the Export Promotion Mission and Bharat Trade Net digital infrastructure are expected to improve India’s global trade competitiveness, and, on the other hand, import duties on steel and EV-related products suggest a protectionist stance to curb trade deficits. Therefore, while in the past, the government focused on lowering trade barriers to attract foreign investment, this year’s budget has taken a mixed approach – incentivising domestic production while discouraging imports in select sectors.

To achieve the balance between self-reliance with global competitiveness, India could adopt trade policies such as carbon border adjustments to prevent export disadvantages in a world where decarbonisiation is important. This will ensure that trade of products/materials which are essential for our climate ambitions can continue and be promoted.

The government has recognised ‘energy security’ as a core priority and allocated substantial funds for clean energy expansion including the Nuclear Energy Mission which aims to achieve 100 GW by 2047.2  Additionally, the Urban Challenge Fund also aims to transform cities into clean growth hubs.

In the past, India has accelerated renewable investments without concrete policies to facilitate energy storage. Now, the country must adopt policies which accelerate energy storage deployment and promote sector-level associations between renewables and green hydrogen to scale clean energy adoption in future.

Agriculture has always been central to India’s economic strategy. This year’s budget focuses climate adaptation strategies such as improved post-harvest storage and credit facilitation for climate-resilient crops. The Prime Minister Dhan-Dhaanya Krishi Yojana aims to enhance productivity and climate resilience in 100 districts,1  integrating crop diversification and improved irrigation. In addition to this, the Mission for Aatmanirbharta in Pulses, which will focus on developing of high-yield, climate-resistant seeds, is expected to go a long way in ensuring long-term food security for India. In coming years, the Government could expand its focus to invest in carbon-smart farming practices, regenerative agriculture and methane reduction technologies in livestock farming.

The Government has introduced production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes in several sectors to boost India’s manufacturing capabilities and to incentivise companies to build and compete in global markets. A new manufacturing mission will promote domestic production of solar modules, advanced chemistry batteries, electrolysers and wind turbines to reduce import dependance. The Union Budget 2025 also aims to positions the MSME’s as the second engine of growth by offering enhanced credit guarantees and tax incentives for clean tech manufacturing. In order to drive industrial decarbonisation, the Government of India could also consider introducing mandatory reporting for MSMEs (similar to the Business Responsibility and Sustainability Reporting), tax benefits for low-carbon supply chains, and research and development support for innovations in green chemistry.

Setting the tone for a climate-smart economy

The Union Budget 2025 builds on past reforms to enhance sustainable manufacturing, climate resilient farming and the expansion of non-fossil-based energy sources. However, well-planned execution and monitoring of the announcements remains crucial as future policies must not only accelerate energy transition and industrial decarbonisation, clean transportation and logistics, and circularity in materials and green chemistry but also scale carbon markets and ensure fiscal sustainability. The Union Budget 2025 has set the foundation for India’s net-zero ambition, but long-term success will depend on bold policies, global partnerships and financial innovation. The next five years must focus on deep reforms and conducive ecosystem to drive a just and inclusive climate transition.

Author

Sandeep Mohanty

Partner- ESG Strategy & Transformation/Leader- Sustainability and Climate Strategy, PwC India

Email

Follow PwC India

Required fields are marked with an asterisk(*)

By submitting your email address, you acknowledge that you have read the Privacy Statement and that you consent to our processing data in accordance with the Privacy Statement (including international transfers). If you change your mind at any time about wishing to receive the information from us, you can send us an email message using the Contact Us page.

Hide